Express News Service
NEW DELHI: Most parts of India, barring the northwestern region, will receive normal rainfall this monsoon season, the weather office reiterated on Friday. Releasing its second long-range forecast for southwest monsoon 2023, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said there is high probability of El Nino but an India Ocean weather condition known as Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) will weaken its impact on monsoon rains in India.
IMD had predicted normal rains last month as well. “It is El Nino and positive IOD this year. The impact of El Nino in central India was likely to be compensated by positive IOD. But that may not happen in the case of northwest India,” the IMD said on Friday.
Most areas of south peninsular India, some areas of east-central India and many areas of northeast and extreme north India will have normal to above-normal rainfall. However, many areas of north-west India, west-central India, northern parts of the peninsular India, and along the foothills of Himalayas may get below-normal rainfall.
Also, the month of June may not give adequate rains except in some regions such as south Karnataka and northern Tamil Nadu, Rajasthan and Ladakh. The IMD estimates the rainfall for the season at 96% of the long period average (87%) with a 5% margin of error. So, this year’s seasonal rainfall is pegged at around 83 cm. Private weather forecasting agency Skymet had forecast below-par monsoon for the upcoming season.
NEW DELHI: Most parts of India, barring the northwestern region, will receive normal rainfall this monsoon season, the weather office reiterated on Friday. Releasing its second long-range forecast for southwest monsoon 2023, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said there is high probability of El Nino but an India Ocean weather condition known as Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) will weaken its impact on monsoon rains in India.
IMD had predicted normal rains last month as well. “It is El Nino and positive IOD this year. The impact of El Nino in central India was likely to be compensated by positive IOD. But that may not happen in the case of northwest India,” the IMD said on Friday.
Most areas of south peninsular India, some areas of east-central India and many areas of northeast and extreme north India will have normal to above-normal rainfall. However, many areas of north-west India, west-central India, northern parts of the peninsular India, and along the foothills of Himalayas may get below-normal rainfall.googletag.cmd.push(function() {googletag.display(‘div-gpt-ad-8052921-2’); });
Also, the month of June may not give adequate rains except in some regions such as south Karnataka and northern Tamil Nadu, Rajasthan and Ladakh. The IMD estimates the rainfall for the season at 96% of the long period average (87%) with a 5% margin of error. So, this year’s seasonal rainfall is pegged at around 83 cm. Private weather forecasting agency Skymet had forecast below-par monsoon for the upcoming season.
