By Online Desk
CHENNAI: In politics, unlike in sports, the game swinging in unexpected ways in the dying seconds is quite rare. So, going by the exit polls, Gujarat is unlikely to throw up surprises.
The incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is poised to come back to power with elan. The saffron party has been enjoying long innings in power in Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s home state since 1998.
In the 14th Gujarat Legislative Assembly (2017 polls), the BJP had a strength of 99 legislators, down from 115 in 2012. The Congress did better in 2017 by winning 77 seats.
However, this time around, despite Rahul Gandhi’s Bharat Jodo Yatra, being a spectacle and a show of strength, the BJP is predicted to sweep the polls in Gujarat.
Exit Polls, Gujarat
Aaj Tak-Axis My India predicted 129-151 seats for the Gujarat. The ABP-CVoter gave BJP 128-140 seats. News X- Jan Ki Baat predicted BJP to win 117-140 seats. Republic TV P-MARQ exit polls predicted 128-148 seats. Times Now-ETG, 139 seats, TV9 Gujarati, 125-130 seats and Zee News-BARC, 110-125 seats.
If the exit polls prove to be correct, this would be BJP’s best performance since 2002, when it won a landslide in the state months after the riots in which 1,000 people, mostly Muslims, were killed.
The Congress has no excuse for its poor peformance, though the party might say that its focus was on Bharat Jodo Yatra. This does not augur well for the party when the 2024 general elections are not far away.
Himachal Pradesh
In Himachal Pradesh, the exit polls suggest a close fight between BJP and the Congress. The Congress party lost power to the BJP in 2017. The BJP managed to win 44 seats against the 21 seats won by the Congress. This time, exit polls predict that BJP would win around 35-40 seats, while the Congress 30-40 seats. Will the saffron party survive anti-incumbency? It is going to be close.
However, two exit polls showed a dead heat between the BJP and the Congress in Himachal Pradesh where results could go either way.
The counting of votes in both states will take place on December 8.
Elections for the Himachal Pradesh Assembly took place on November 12, while polling in Gujarat happened in two phases on December 1 and 5.
Most exit polls predicted a big mandate for the BJP in Gujarat in the range of 117-148 seats in the 182-member assembly, while the Congress was predicted to bag seats in the range of 30-51 seats.
Gujarat election HIGHLIGHTS | Polling for phase II ends with 62 per cent voter turnout
The Aam Aadmi Party was projected to bag anywhere between three and 13 seats. The majority mark in Gujarat is 92.
In Himachal Pradesh, the exit polls projected a range of 24-40 seats for the BJP and 26-40 seats for the Congress. The AAP was projected to bag seats in the range of 0-3. The majority mark is 35 seats.
According to the News X-Jan Ki Baat exit poll on Gujarat elections, the BJP was likely to get 117-140 seats, Congress-NCP 34-51, AAP 6-13 and others 1-2.
Republic TV P-MARQ predicted 128-148 seats for the BJP, 30-42 for the Congress-NCP, AAP 2-10 and others 0-3.
TV9 Gujarati forecast that the BJP would get 125-130 seats, Congress-NCP 40-50, AAP 3-5 and others 3-7.
For Himachal Pradesh, Aaj Tak-Axis My India predicted a close contest between Congress and the BJP. It said the BJP would get 24-34 seats and the Congress 30-40 seats.
India TV predicted that the BJP would bag 35-40 seats, Congress 26-31 and AAP zero.
News X-Jan Ki Baat survey said the BJP was likely to get 32-40 seats in the hill state, Congress 27-34 and AAP zero.
While Republic TV P-MARQ predicted that the BJP would get 34-39, Congress 28-33 and AAP 0-1, the Times Now-ETG said the average number of seats BJP was likely to get was 38 and the Congress 28.
For the Municipal Corporation of Delhi polls, most exit polls predicted a huge win for the AAP over the BJP with the Congress a distant third.
CHENNAI: In politics, unlike in sports, the game swinging in unexpected ways in the dying seconds is quite rare. So, going by the exit polls, Gujarat is unlikely to throw up surprises.
The incumbent Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is poised to come back to power with elan. The saffron party has been enjoying long innings in power in Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s home state since 1998.
In the 14th Gujarat Legislative Assembly (2017 polls), the BJP had a strength of 99 legislators, down from 115 in 2012. The Congress did better in 2017 by winning 77 seats.
However, this time around, despite Rahul Gandhi’s Bharat Jodo Yatra, being a spectacle and a show of strength, the BJP is predicted to sweep the polls in Gujarat.
Exit Polls, Gujarat
Aaj Tak-Axis My India predicted 129-151 seats for the Gujarat. The ABP-CVoter gave BJP 128-140 seats. News X- Jan Ki Baat predicted BJP to win 117-140 seats. Republic TV P-MARQ exit polls predicted 128-148 seats. Times Now-ETG, 139 seats, TV9 Gujarati, 125-130 seats and Zee News-BARC, 110-125 seats.
If the exit polls prove to be correct, this would be BJP’s best performance since 2002, when it won a landslide in the state months after the riots in which 1,000 people, mostly Muslims, were killed.
The Congress has no excuse for its poor peformance, though the party might say that its focus was on Bharat Jodo Yatra. This does not augur well for the party when the 2024 general elections are not far away.
Himachal Pradesh
In Himachal Pradesh, the exit polls suggest a close fight between BJP and the Congress. The Congress party lost power to the BJP in 2017. The BJP managed to win 44 seats against the 21 seats won by the Congress. This time, exit polls predict that BJP would win around 35-40 seats, while the Congress 30-40 seats. Will the saffron party survive anti-incumbency? It is going to be close.
However, two exit polls showed a dead heat between the BJP and the Congress in Himachal Pradesh where results could go either way.
The counting of votes in both states will take place on December 8.
Elections for the Himachal Pradesh Assembly took place on November 12, while polling in Gujarat happened in two phases on December 1 and 5.
Most exit polls predicted a big mandate for the BJP in Gujarat in the range of 117-148 seats in the 182-member assembly, while the Congress was predicted to bag seats in the range of 30-51 seats.
Gujarat election HIGHLIGHTS | Polling for phase II ends with 62 per cent voter turnout
The Aam Aadmi Party was projected to bag anywhere between three and 13 seats. The majority mark in Gujarat is 92.
In Himachal Pradesh, the exit polls projected a range of 24-40 seats for the BJP and 26-40 seats for the Congress. The AAP was projected to bag seats in the range of 0-3. The majority mark is 35 seats.
According to the News X-Jan Ki Baat exit poll on Gujarat elections, the BJP was likely to get 117-140 seats, Congress-NCP 34-51, AAP 6-13 and others 1-2.
Republic TV P-MARQ predicted 128-148 seats for the BJP, 30-42 for the Congress-NCP, AAP 2-10 and others 0-3.
TV9 Gujarati forecast that the BJP would get 125-130 seats, Congress-NCP 40-50, AAP 3-5 and others 3-7.
For Himachal Pradesh, Aaj Tak-Axis My India predicted a close contest between Congress and the BJP. It said the BJP would get 24-34 seats and the Congress 30-40 seats.
India TV predicted that the BJP would bag 35-40 seats, Congress 26-31 and AAP zero.
News X-Jan Ki Baat survey said the BJP was likely to get 32-40 seats in the hill state, Congress 27-34 and AAP zero.
While Republic TV P-MARQ predicted that the BJP would get 34-39, Congress 28-33 and AAP 0-1, the Times Now-ETG said the average number of seats BJP was likely to get was 38 and the Congress 28.
For the Municipal Corporation of Delhi polls, most exit polls predicted a huge win for the AAP over the BJP with the Congress a distant third.
